
Silver Price Forecast: Silver Shows Resilience Amid Increased Buying Pressure
October 5, 2024
Saudi Arabia Stocks Down 1.58% as Tadawul All Share Falls
October 7, 2024Silver has exhibited positive momentum in the initial three quarters of 2024, with indications of a potential surge in the fourth quarter. The third quarter of 2024 witnessed consolidation, forming a bullish pattern that forecasts optimistic momentum heading into Q4. This article analyzes both fundamental and technical aspects of the silver market to project potential price fluctuations in Q4 2024. Emergence of Positive Trends in the Silver Market Historically, the silver market has experienced robust growth driven by factors such as increased global demand for industrial and monetary purposes. From the 1930s to the 1970s, a surge in demand was observed due to the economic impact of the Great Depression, prompting significant government involvement in precious metals. Following World War II, industrial recovery further boosted the demand for silver in various technological applications. Despite a decline post the market peak in the late 1970s, subsequent price corrections have formed positive patterns, indicating potential upward movement. The recent trend in 2024 points towards a target price of $43 in spot silver, with a breakout above this level potentially triggering a strong surge. Assessment of Q3 2024 Price Trends The candlestick chart analysis reveals a consistent bullish formation in silver prices, with signals pointing towards a target of $50. The silver market has displayed upward momentum, emphasized by buy signals in Q3 2022 and Q4 2022, resulting in a potential rally towards all-time highs. The consolidation breakout in Q3 2024 suggests a positive trajectory, with a projected resistance area between $43 and $50. A quarterly close above this range could mark the onset of a substantial price increase in Q4 2024. Outlook for Q4 2024 Considering the positive price movements in the past three quarters, Q4 2024 is expected to continue the upward trend in silver prices. The formation of an inverted head and shoulders pattern in Q3 2024, along with attempts to breach the key resistance level of $32.50, indicates a potential breakout for higher gains. The comparison of monthly closing patterns further supports the likelihood of a positive price trend in October 2024. Silver’s alignment with gold’s rally and favorable demand dynamics position silver for a significant price surge in Q4 2024. Factors Driving Silver Demand in Q4 2024 Growing industrial and green energy demand, central bank policies, and supply constraints are key factors contributing to the bullish outlook for silver in Q4 2024. The expansion of the green energy sector, coupled with increasing industrial usage, positions silver as a critical resource. Dovish monetary policies and currency dynamics further support silver prices by amplifying its appeal as a hedge against currency devaluation. Moreover, supply constraints and market sentiment indicate a potential supply deficit, enhancing silver’s attractiveness as a safe-haven asset. In conclusion, the analysis suggests a positive price trajectory for silver in Q4 2024, driven by technical formations, demand dynamics, and supportive macroeconomic factors. Investors are advised to consider buying silver with targets set at $43 and $50 levels, emphasizing the potential for further price appreciation in the coming months.