Industrial Demand Surge May Propel Silver Above $29.10: Market Analysis
September 12, 2024Silver Price Outlook: Silver’s Strength Persists on Technical Analysis
September 14, 2024Silver prices experienced a modest increase on Wednesday as traders eagerly anticipate the release of crucial U.S. inflation data. After trading within a narrow range for almost a month, market indicators suggest the possibility of a breakout above the 50-day moving average set at $29.03. Daily Silver Trading Updates As of 11:53 GMT, the XAG/USD pair is trading at $28.84, representing an increase of $0.44 or +1.56%. Trading Exhaustion: Key Factor for Potential Silver Surge Traders are displaying signs of fatigue due to the recent limited price movements, raising the chances of a breakout. While factors like buy stops may initiate this shift, the sustainability of any rally will depend on genuine buying interest post the initial momentum. CPI Report: Crucial Moment for Silver’s Movement The release of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report at 12:30 GMT is the main focus for market participants. Analysts surveyed by Reuters anticipate a 0.2% increase in the headline CPI for August on a month-on-month basis, mirroring the previous month. The year-on-year CPI is expected to show a 2.6% rise, down slightly from the previous month’s 2.9%. Federal Reserve Outlook: Anticipated Interest Rate Cuts Market sentiment suggests that the Federal Reserve might introduce a series of interest rate cuts in 2024. Based on a Reuters survey, the majority of economists foresee 25 basis point cuts at each of the remaining three policy meetings next year. However, only a fraction of the surveyed economists expect a half-percentage-point cut at the upcoming meeting. Silver’s Promising Future: Price Targets and Forecasts Silver carries a positive outlook within its current trading range, with experts foreseeing the potential for new highs above $32.48 in 2024. The precious metal’s performance is closely linked to various factors, including potential dollar weakness, expectations of rate cuts, and the ongoing surge in gold prices. Market Overview: Significant Data Insights The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) and initial jobless claims are among the significant data releases this week. These reports could offer further clarity on economic conditions and impact silver prices. Silver’s Next Steps: Bullish Breakout or Continued Stagnation? The short-term forecast for silver is optimistic, with technical indicators and market sentiment indicating a probable upward breakout. Nevertheless, traders are advised to be cautious of potential volatility surrounding the release of crucial economic data. A confirmed breach above the 50-day moving average may signify the beginning of a more sustained upward trend, possibly attracting momentum-driven buyers. Conversely, a failure to surpass this level could result in continued range-bound trading in the short run.