Silver Prices Surge, Eyes Set on Multi-Year High After Reaching Yearly Peak
September 28, 2024Silver Faces Resistance But Uptrend Could Continue
October 1, 2024As we near the final quarter of 2024, the markets are showing optimism, with equity indices hitting new highs. This trend is supported by the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate cuts and the hope for a soft landing for the US economy. Global stocks are poised for a fourth consecutive quarter of gains, while bonds have surged due to decreasing inflation and expectations of more easing by central banks. However, amidst this positive outlook, there are uncertainties investors need to be ready for in the remaining months of the year. UBS analysts highlight the diminishing window for making portfolio adjustments as central banks speed up their rate-cutting efforts. The Federal Reserve’s recent 50-basis-point cut is seen as the beginning of a series of cuts, with more expected in 2024 and 2025. Similar actions are anticipated from the European Central Bank, Bank of England, and Swiss National Bank. While these rate cuts are favorable for equities, they are likely to reduce cash returns, making it less beneficial to keep excess funds in deposit accounts or money market instruments. In response to this, UBS recommends reallocating capital towards income-generating assets that offer more sustainable returns. Some strategies suggested include bond ladders, medium-duration investment-grade bonds, and diversified fixed income to help maintain portfolio earnings amid lower interest rates. This could be a more suitable alternative to holding excess cash. The upcoming US election could introduce a new source of market volatility. UBS analysts warn that the election outcome might significantly impact sectors like US consumer discretionary and renewable energy, which are sensitive to policy changes. Regardless of the election results, the strategic competition between the US and China is expected to persist, benefiting companies involved in reshoring and reducing dependency on overseas manufacturing. In light of economic uncertainties and geopolitical tensions which could heighten market volatility, maintaining a diversified portfolio is emphasized as a key strategy against potential risks. Spreading investments across different asset classes and sectors helps investors mitigate potential market shocks. The AI sector is highlighted as a significant theme for long-term growth, with market downturns presenting opportunities to increase exposure to this sector. For investors heavily invested in AI-related stocks, considering strategies for capital preservation to secure gains against potential pullbacks is recommended. In times of uncertainty, alternative investments like hedge funds, private equity, infrastructure investments, and private credit provide additional layers of protection and diversification. These alternatives can help mitigate portfolio volatility and offer exposure to growth opportunities outside traditional assets but come with risks like lower liquidity and less transparency. Gold has regained prominence as a safe-haven asset amid geopolitical tensions and the Fed’s easing policies. UBS sees further upside for gold prices and expects strong institutional demand to continue supporting prices. For investors looking to hedge against risks and inflation, gold remains a preferred asset according to UBS. As the Federal Reserve persists with rate cuts, UBS analysts suggest that the fixed-income markets will remain attractive for generating stable returns in the current environment. With expectations of further rate cuts in the coming years, high-quality bonds with medium durations may become more appealing compared to cash or lower-yielding money market instruments.