India’s Growing Solar Industry Boosts Silver Demand Despite Potential Market Risks
September 27, 2024Preparing Your Investment Portfolio for the Fourth Quarter
September 29, 2024Silver prices climbed to $32.72, surpassing the previous yearly peak of $32.52, signaling a bullish momentum that could propel the precious metal towards the multi-year high of $34.35. Investors closely monitor market movements as silver moves above the 50-day moving average, heightening concerns about potential volatility. On the XAG/USD chart, the price stands at $32.36, marking a 1.74% increase of $0.55 at 12:17 GMT. Speculation Surrounding Interest Rates Boosts Silver Momentum The recent uptrend in the silver market is attributed to mounting predictions of another U.S. interest rate cut. Traders eagerly await Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming statements for insights on future monetary policies. Following the recent rate reduction of 50 basis points that brought the benchmark rate to 4.75%-5.00%, markets are now pricing in a 62% likelihood of another 50 bps decrease in November, based on the CME FedWatch Tool. Lower interest rates enhance the attractiveness of non-yielding assets like silver, fueling the ongoing price surge despite the strength of the U.S. dollar and increasing Treasury yields driven by speculative activities. Focus on Economic Data and Federal Reserve Policy In addition to Powell’s speech, traders await crucial U.S. economic indicators, such as weekly jobless claims and the core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) index scheduled for Friday—considered the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation. These data releases will offer further insights into the central bank’s inflation management strategy and could impact silver prices. Furthermore, comments from other prominent Fed officials like New York Fed President John Williams and Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr are eagerly anticipated. Silver’s Robust Performance in 2024 With a more than 30% increase so far in 2024, silver is backed by U.S. rate cuts, safe-haven demand, and substantial central bank purchases of gold. The ongoing geopolitical uncertainties have contributed to the rally, drawing heightened demand from investors seeking secure assets. The outlook suggests that silver could continue its ascent towards $35 per ounce in the near future barring any significant setbacks. Short-Term Market Forecasts Silver is poised to sustain its upward trajectory in the immediate future, potentially reaching $35 per ounce if the Federal Reserve signals more rate cuts. However, profit-taking activities could emerge towards the end of the year, especially if silver becomes overbought. Our projections estimate an average price of $31.76 for Q4 2024, anticipating some short-term corrections following the strong performance throughout the year. Traders are advised to exercise caution amidst increased volatility as silver moves away from crucial technical levels.